Dec 6, 2013

Bubbles In Several Housing Markets

Now, five years later, signs of frothiness, if not outright bubbles, are reappearing in housing markets in Switzerland, Sweden, Norway, Finland, France, Germany, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and, back for an encore, the UK (well, London). In emerging markets, bubbles are appearing in Hong Kong, Singapore, China, and Israel, and in major urban centers in Turkey, India, Indonesia, and Brazil.

Signs that home prices are entering bubble territory in these economies include fast-rising home prices, high and rising price-to-income ratios, and high levels of mortgage debt as a share of household debt. In most advanced economies, bubbles are being inflated by very low short- and long-term interest rates. Given anemic GDP growth, high unemployment, and low inflation, the wall of liquidity generated by conventional and unconventional monetary easing is driving up asset prices, starting with home prices. - Business Insider

Nouriel Roubini is an American economist. He teaches at New York University's Stern School of Business and is the chairman of Roubini Global Economics.

Nov 12, 2013

U.S. Economy: Growth Is Low, Inflation Is Low, Unemployment Is High

The economic activity is recovering very anemically. Growth is low, inflation is low, unemployment is high. That is the reason why we have zero policy rates, we have QE, credit easing.

Related ETFs: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY)

Nouriel Roubini is an American economist. He teaches at New York University's Stern School of Business and is the chairman of Roubini Global Economics.

Nov 11, 2013

U.S. Stock Market: We Are Not Yet In Bubble Territory


Related trading instruments: SPDR SP 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY)

Nouriel Roubini is an American economist. He teaches at New York University's Stern School of Business and is the chairman of Roubini Global Economics.

Oct 22, 2013

Brazil Was Too Hyped

2 years ago at the Milken Conference, Eike Batista criticized me in our panel for saying that Brazil was too hyped. Today he is nearly bankrupt. - in a recent tweet 

Related trading instruments: iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (ETF) (EEM), iShares MSCI Brazil Index (ETF) (NYSE:EWZ), SPDR Gold Trust (ETF) (GLD)

Nouriel Roubini is an American economist. He teaches at New York University's Stern School of Business and is the chairman of Roubini Global Economics.

Oct 15, 2013

The Economic Impact in Terms of a Fiscal Drag

The economic impact in terms of a fiscal drag is the difference between U.S. economic growth and tipping into a downturn.  (in a recent TV appearance with CNBC)

Related trading instruments: Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF), SPDR SP 500 ETF (SPY)

Nouriel Roubini is an American economist. He teaches at New York University's Stern School of Business and is the chairman of Roubini Global Economics.

Oct 14, 2013

Without Market Discipline, There`s No Pressure To Do Anything

“Without market discipline, there’s no pressure to do anything because you can continue to finance yourself cheaply.” - in Washington Post

Related assets: 10-Year U.S. Treasuries, 30-Year T-Bonds;

Nouriel Roubini is an American economist. He teaches at New York University's Stern School of Business and is the chairman of Roubini Global Economics.

Oct 7, 2013

Eurozone Crisis: A Temporary Respite Between Storms?

"The calm that has prevailed in eurozone financial markets for most of the past year would turn out to be only a temporary respite between storms." - in Money News

Nouriel Roubini is an American economist. He teaches at New York University's Stern School of Business and is the chairman of Roubini Global Economics.

Oct 3, 2013

Eurozone's Fundamental Problems Remain Unresolved

"Beneath the surface calm of lower spreads and lower tail risks, the eurozone's fundamental problems remain unresolved. For starters, potential growth is still too low in most of the periphery, given ageing populations and low productivity growth, while actual growth – even once the periphery exits the recession, in 2014 – will remain below 1% for the next few years, implying that unemployment rates will remain very high.

Meanwhile, levels of private and public debt, domestic and foreign, are still too high, and continue to rise as a share of GDP, owing to slow or negative output growth. This means that the issue of medium-term sustainability remains unresolved.

At the same time, the loss of competitiveness has been only partly reversed, with most of the improvement in external balances being cyclical rather than structural. The severe recession in the periphery has caused imports there to collapse, but lower unit labour costs have boosted exports insufficiently. The euro is still too strong, severely limiting the improvement in competitiveness that is needed to boost net exports in the face of weak domestic demand." - in The Guardian

Related ETFs: iShares Germany ETF (EWG), iShares MSCI Italy Index ETF (EWI), iShares MSCI Spain Index ETF (EWP)

Nouriel Roubini is an American economist. He teaches at New York University's Stern School of Business and is the chairman of Roubini Global Economics.

Oct 2, 2013

Euro Monetary Union: Disintegration Risk Has Diminished Significantly

"A little more than a year ago, in the summer of 2012, the eurozone, faced with growing fears of a Greek exit and unsustainably high borrowing costs for Italy and Spain, appeared to be on the brink of collapse. Today, the risk that the monetary union could disintegrate has diminished significantly – but the factors that led to it remain largely unaddressed." - in The Guardian

Related ETFs:  iShares MSCI Spain Index ETF (EWP), iShares MSCI Italy Index ETF (EWI), iShares Germany ETF (EWG)

Nouriel Roubini is an American economist. He teaches at New York University's Stern School of Business and is the chairman of Roubini Global Economics.

Oct 1, 2013

If A Government Shutdown Cannot Lift Gold, What Else Will?

If a government shutdown cannot lift gold, what else will? - in Twitter

Related stocks and ETFs: SPDR Gold Trust (ETF) (GLD), Newmont Mining (NEM), Barrick Gold (ABX), Goldcorp (GG), Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX)

Nouriel Roubini is an American economist. He teaches at New York University's Stern School of Business and is the chairman of Roubini Global Economics.